The IBD tracking poll is more accurate than the mainstream media polls, possibly in part because of the strong bias among the mainstream media. On day 10 the results were Obama 45.7%, McCain 42.0%, which suggests to me and others who have e-mailed a McCain victory, because all polls have a "Bubba" bias. Also, I have heard that people have realized that Obama's supporters become violent and begin screaming, drooling and throwing things when they hear someone will not support their sociopathic candidate.
Today, Dan Friedman has forwarded the day 11 poll which indicates that Obama leads McCain by 1.1%. Anything less than a 4% Obama lead suggests a McCain victory, assuming that there is no massive voter fraud. Given the bad ethical climate surrounding the Obama campaign, the corrupt Chicago milieu in which he has operated, and the cynical "ends justify the means" utilitarianism of the thugs with whom he has surrounded himself throughout his life, it seems entirely possible that this election will be won through the gun barrel and through fraud, not through the democratic process.
Showing posts with label polls. Show all posts
Showing posts with label polls. Show all posts
Friday, October 24, 2008
Saturday, October 18, 2008
Dan Friedman Analyzes Polls
I just received the following message from Dan Friedman, based on an e-mail from the McCain campaign:
Sat Oct 18, 1:03 am ET
WASHINGTON (Reuters) – Democrat Barack Obama holds a 4-point lead over Republican John McCain, according to a Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby poll released on Saturday.
Obama leads McCain by 48 to 44 percent among likely voters in the four-day tracking poll, which has a margin of error of 2.9 points.
Pollster John Zogby said that while Obama's overall lead had remained relatively stable between 2 and 6 points in the 12 days since the poll started, the latest figures showed a bump for McCain following Wednesday's final presidential debate.
"Today was the first full sample post-debate and there's a clear indication that McCain is moving up," Zogby said.
He added that McCain's support among Republican voters appeared to be consolidating.
McCain was backed by 91 percent of Republicans in the poll, while Obama drew support from just 88 percent of Democrats. But Obama still enjoyed a 16-point advantage among independent voters, which many analysts expect to be a deciding factor in the November 4 election.
"If (McCain) maintains his edge with Republicans, he stays competitive. But he's going to have to increase his share of independents," Zogby said.
Meanwhile, somewhere in the bowels of the city, very near its rectum:
CBS News/NY Times
10/10 - 10/13
699 LV
--
53
39
Obama +14
Sat Oct 18, 1:03 am ET
WASHINGTON (Reuters) – Democrat Barack Obama holds a 4-point lead over Republican John McCain, according to a Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby poll released on Saturday.
Obama leads McCain by 48 to 44 percent among likely voters in the four-day tracking poll, which has a margin of error of 2.9 points.
Pollster John Zogby said that while Obama's overall lead had remained relatively stable between 2 and 6 points in the 12 days since the poll started, the latest figures showed a bump for McCain following Wednesday's final presidential debate.
"Today was the first full sample post-debate and there's a clear indication that McCain is moving up," Zogby said.
He added that McCain's support among Republican voters appeared to be consolidating.
McCain was backed by 91 percent of Republicans in the poll, while Obama drew support from just 88 percent of Democrats. But Obama still enjoyed a 16-point advantage among independent voters, which many analysts expect to be a deciding factor in the November 4 election.
"If (McCain) maintains his edge with Republicans, he stays competitive. But he's going to have to increase his share of independents," Zogby said.
Meanwhile, somewhere in the bowels of the city, very near its rectum:
CBS News/NY Times
10/10 - 10/13
699 LV
--
53
39
Obama +14
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