Wednesday, June 13, 2018

The Politicization of Science

Heather MacDonald of City Journal wrote a frustrating but riveting piece about the cooptation of the National Science Foundation by the political correctness movement. It's not surprising, but MacDonald provides the gory details of the politicization of science. What have the Republicans and Trump been doing about this? My guess is nothing so far. (H/t Dan Elmendorf.)

Tuesday, June 12, 2018

Stock Buybacks and the Wisdom of Presidents

Steven Pearlstein of the Washington Post published an article that draws a parallel between the mortgage bubble of the Bush years and the current corporate stock buyback bubble, which to be fair began under Obama but continues under Trump. Pearlstein omits the biggest bubble of all:  the Obama bailout that sustained years of malinvestment in derivatives and real estate.  Also to be fair, the Obama bailout began under Bush but was ramped up.  At one point economists at the Jerome Levy Center at Bard College identified $29 trillion in subsidies to Wall Street; hence, Obama oversaw the largest subsidization of any industry in the history of the world.

Here is the wisdom of presidents, reflecting the democratic, Progressive genius of the American people:

Bush:  Have the Fed print lots of money and sell houses to people who can't figure out how to find a job. 

Obama: Have the Fed print lots of money and give it to Wall Street investors who can't figure out how to invest. 

Trump: Have the Fed print lots of money and give it to corporate executives who can't figure out how to innovate.


Monday, June 11, 2018

Public Opinion about the Fed

Pew has done an interesting opinion survey about the Fed. Pew finds that Democrats and leftists tend to like the Fed while Republicans and pro-freedom Americans tend to dislike it. The breakdown of the opposed-to-favor ratios is as follows. The omitted proportion is "don't know": Rep:48:39; Rep-Cons 54:33; Rep-Mod: 40:13; Dem: 28:57; Cons-Dem: 26:59; Left-Dem: 30:56. Overall, 37:47.
The Fed is among the most-entrenched federal institutions, yet the total difference is a mere 10 points (37:47).
The Fed is an institution that subsidizes the wealthy and those who do not work at the expense of those with moderate and lower incomes. It fosters corrupt, insider relationships among government, money center banks, and Wall Street. It has supported one bubble after the next, to include the Latin American debt crisis; the Hunts' cornering of the silver market; Long Term Capital Management; the millennial derivatives bubble; the ongoing stock, bond, and real estate bubbles; and a whole slew of other kooky bubbles and mistaken economic policies. Leftists like the Fed because it permits ongoing indebtedness to subsidize welfare benefits. Rockefeller Republicans like it because it subsidizes and bails out their incompetent investment decisions.
Unfortunately, though, American indebtedness is now in excess of 105% of GDP, and Social Security will be 25% underfunded in 15 years. Sooner or later the debt bubble will burst, and Americans used to welfare will suffer because of the left's good intentions. The left has always had a taste for gambles that lead to mass suffering, and we will see that outcome again, although I doubt that we will see the mass murders of Cuba, the USSR, and the PRC. Rather, we will probably see some riots and mostly quiet suffering, elderly people eating pet food, and a reversal of the 180-year-old free market trend of lengthening life spans.
I also suspect that conservatives have trouble vocalizing these concerns because elite conservatives are in bed with elite leftists. The military industrial complex, for instance, receives support from the paper money system.

Wednesday, June 6, 2018

Totalitarianism and Externalities


The extent to which an ideology claims that behavior creates externalities can be viewed as a measure of the extent to which the ideology is totalitarian.  Merriam-Webster defines externality as something that is external or that involves a secondary consequence, such as pollution.  The perception of externalities arises when behavior is viewed as eroding public morals or being immoral or that activity that is private harms society at large.  Hence, in the extreme, communism views private economic contracts as being exploitive, hence harmful and immoral.   Theocracies view dissenting religions as immoral, hence threatening the state, and this works both ways: the commitment to secular humanism views religious belief as threatening its moral assumptions, hence threatening its version of the state.       
                                                     
Once a claim is made that a private behavior creates externalities, the solution is enhancement and centralization of state control, i.e., increasing totalitarianism.  Merriam-Webster defines totalitarian as:

a : of or relating to centralized control by an autocratic leader or hierarchy : authoritarian, dictatorial; especially : despotic
b : of or relating to a political regime based on subordination of the individual to the state and strict control of all aspects of the life and productive capacity of the nation especially by coercive measures (such as censorship and terrorism)
2 a : advocating or characteristic of totalitarianism
b : completely regulated by the state especially as an aid to national mobilization in an emergency
c : exercising autocratic powers


In other words, there is a tradeoff between the claim that behaviors are externalities and the claim that we have a right to engage in the behavior, that is, that we are free.   The claim that behaviors create externalities is equivalent to the claim that totalitarianism needs to be increased.

A quantitative measure can be derived that gauges the extent to which a given ideology is totalitarian.  A list of characteristic behaviors and the extent to which the ideology claims that they create externalities and are not purely individualistic and private can be scored and weighted.  A totalitarian score can be created to compare ideologies, such as those of the Democrats and Republicans, as to how totalitarian they are.

To what degree are today’s American political parties totalitarian?  With respect to Merriam-Webster’s definition (a), both parties have increasing opted for centralized control and the rejection of federalism and states’ rights.  Democrats do so based on the history of racial discrimination, while Republicans do so based on economic efficiency.  As well, Americans have been increasingly susceptible to authoritarian leadership during the past century. 

With respect to (b), we also see increasing subordination of the individual to the state. Mental health regulation, child protection regulation, environmental regulation, substance abuse regulation,  minimum wage regulation, and workplace regulation increasingly subordinate Americans’ lives to the state and strictly control the life and productive capacity of the nation by coercive measures, including terror.  

Hence, the democratic process increasingly results in totalitarianism.  In the past 10 years both parties’ presidents have used executive orders to exercise autocratic powers, and Congress seems to consider its powers unlimited.

To operationalize the concept of totalitarianism, we may consider the extent to which the state regulates or controls a list of specific personal behaviors, for example consumption, production, economic activity, recreational activity, sexual activity, and the extent to which it views such activities as externalities.