Friday, October 31, 2008

McCain Likely to Win--Florida and Election Dynamics on His Side

Two blogs (h/t Bob Robbins and Contrairimairi) capture a re-energized McCain campaign. This information contradicts the opinions of poller Sabado who appeared on Bob Grant the other night. First, Conservative Edge notes that early voting in Florida has resulted in a stunning shift:

"In a stunning shift in poll numbers, the LA Times estimates that John McCain leads Barack Obama 49-45 of those who have already voted in Florida, Just last week, a Times poll showed Obama leading 50-47 in the Sunshine state.

"But, the news gets worse for Obama. According to Florida Governor Charlie Crist, of the total citizens who have already voted, 54% are Democrats while 30% are Republicans. If these numbers hold up, and there is not a huge defection of GOP voters from McCain, Florida could be a blowout win for McCain.

"The coup de grace for Obama may come from Israel. Exit polls for absentee voting in that country show McCain winning 3-1 over Obama, despite a higher level of registered Democrats than Republicans."

Second, Pamela Geller of Atlas Shrugs features an eye-opening Red post from a former Hillary worker now employed in the Obama campaign who argues that:

"Barack Obama doesn’t have a chance. His only chance is to foster disorganization, chaos, despair, and a sense of inevitability among the Republicans. It has worked up until now. Joe the Plumber has put the focus on the issues again, and this scares us more than anything. Being in a position to know these things, I will rate what the Obama campaign already knows are their weak links from the most important on down."

Potential breakdowns in the Obama campaign include former Hillary voters, Sarah Palin (whom the college educated elite hate but they wouldn't vote for McCain anyhow), and Obama's radical connections.

Read the whole thing here.

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